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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2015-06-22T18:36:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2015-06-22T18:36Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/8766/-1
CME Note: from AR 12371
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2015-06-24T12:57Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 6.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-06-24T12:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 75.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 5.0 - 8.0
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note: 
:Issued: 2015 Jun 23 0239 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/presto
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE  from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)         #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
A full halo CME erupted from NOAA AR 2371 (first seen at 18:36 UT on June 22, in LASCO C2), related to the M6.5  flare (peak 18:23 UT, June 22) reported in a previous PRESTO. The CME speed is around 1000 km/s and it is expected to arrive to the Earth on June 24 around 12:00 UT.
The geomagnetic storm related to the June 21 CME is still ongoing, at minor storm levels. Proton levels have descended from the peak of 1000 pfu and are around 20 pfu at the moment.

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Lead Time: 34.27 hour(s)
Difference: 0.95 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2015-06-23T02:41Z
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